Recent statements from US and Iranian officials, including President Trump, indicate an imminent memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and initiate 60-day technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, including uranium enrichment limits and verification. Omani-mediated diplomacy has produced reported progress on core issues such as no nuclear weapons and sanctions relief, following earlier Geneva and Islamabad rounds. These developments, combined with the short window to July 31 and both sides' incentives to formalize a framework agreement, underpin trader consensus on a high probability of resolution by the deadline. Outstanding details on implementation and enrichment levels remain subject to final negotiations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
$399,418 KL.
$399,418 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
$399,418 KL.
$399,418 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent statements from US and Iranian officials, including President Trump, indicate an imminent memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and initiate 60-day technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, including uranium enrichment limits and verification. Omani-mediated diplomacy has produced reported progress on core issues such as no nuclear weapons and sanctions relief, following earlier Geneva and Islamabad rounds. These developments, combined with the short window to July 31 and both sides' incentives to formalize a framework agreement, underpin trader consensus on a high probability of resolution by the deadline. Outstanding details on implementation and enrichment levels remain subject to final negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Thị trường mở: May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$399,418Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent statements from US and Iranian officials, including President Trump, indicate an imminent memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and initiate 60-day technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, including uranium enrichment limits and verification. Omani-mediated diplomacy has produced reported progress on core issues such as no nuclear weapons and sanctions relief, following earlier Geneva and Islamabad rounds. These developments, combined with the short window to July 31 and both sides' incentives to formalize a framework agreement, underpin trader consensus on a high probability of resolution by the deadline. Outstanding details on implementation and enrichment levels remain subject to final negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Khối lượng
$399,418Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Recent statements from US and Iranian officials, including President Trump, indicate an imminent memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and initiate 60-day technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, including uranium enrichment limits and verification. Omani-mediated diplomacy has produced reported progress on core issues such as no nuclear weapons and sanctions relief, following earlier Geneva and Islamabad rounds. These developments, combined with the short window to July 31 and both sides' incentives to formalize a framework agreement, underpin trader consensus on a high probability of resolution by the deadline. Outstanding details on implementation and enrichment levels remain subject to final negotiations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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