Incumbent Republican Sen. Shelley Moore Capito's strong reelection bid in deep-red West Virginia underpins trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 93.5%, reflecting the state's consistent GOP dominance—Trump carried it by over 35 points in recent cycles—and Capito's business endorsements from groups like the West Virginia Chamber PAC and GO-WV in late March. Recent primary challenges from state Sen. Tom Willis and Derrick Evans have generated grassroots buzz on social media, but no polls indicate a serious threat ahead of the May 12 Republican primary. Democrats face a fragmented field including Jeff Kessler and Zachary Shrewsbury, with no competitive polling. While a primary upset yielding a flawed nominee or late scandal could theoretically narrow odds, historical incumbency base rates in safe seats suggest minimal risk before November's general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWest Virginia Senate Election Winner
West Virginia Senate Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
94%
Democrat
6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$4,511 KL.
94%
Democrat
$3,707 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Shelley Moore Capito's strong reelection bid in deep-red West Virginia underpins trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 93.5%, reflecting the state's consistent GOP dominance—Trump carried it by over 35 points in recent cycles—and Capito's business endorsements from groups like the West Virginia Chamber PAC and GO-WV in late March. Recent primary challenges from state Sen. Tom Willis and Derrick Evans have generated grassroots buzz on social media, but no polls indicate a serious threat ahead of the May 12 Republican primary. Democrats face a fragmented field including Jeff Kessler and Zachary Shrewsbury, with no competitive polling. While a primary upset yielding a flawed nominee or late scandal could theoretically narrow odds, historical incumbency base rates in safe seats suggest minimal risk before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,218Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Shelley Moore Capito's strong reelection bid in deep-red West Virginia underpins trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 93.5%, reflecting the state's consistent GOP dominance—Trump carried it by over 35 points in recent cycles—and Capito's business endorsements from groups like the West Virginia Chamber PAC and GO-WV in late March. Recent primary challenges from state Sen. Tom Willis and Derrick Evans have generated grassroots buzz on social media, but no polls indicate a serious threat ahead of the May 12 Republican primary. Democrats face a fragmented field including Jeff Kessler and Zachary Shrewsbury, with no competitive polling. While a primary upset yielding a flawed nominee or late scandal could theoretically narrow odds, historical incumbency base rates in safe seats suggest minimal risk before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$8,218Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Shelley Moore Capito's strong reelection bid in deep-red West Virginia underpins trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 93.5%, reflecting the state's consistent GOP dominance—Trump carried it by over 35 points in recent cycles—and Capito's business endorsements from groups like the West Virginia Chamber PAC and GO-WV in late March. Recent primary challenges from state Sen. Tom Willis and Derrick Evans have generated grassroots buzz on social media, but no polls indicate a serious threat ahead of the May 12 Republican primary. Democrats face a fragmented field including Jeff Kessler and Zachary Shrewsbury, with no competitive polling. While a primary upset yielding a flawed nominee or late scandal could theoretically narrow odds, historical incumbency base rates in safe seats suggest minimal risk before November's general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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