Anthropic's Claude AI services have faced frequent disruptions in April 2026, with incidents reported on at least 10 days including April 17 document upload errors, April 16 failures in credential vaults and Claude Cowork startup, and April 15 elevated errors across claude.ai, API, and Claude Code—driving trader consensus toward 12+ downtime days in May at 66% implied probability. These stem from recurring elevated error rates on models like Sonnet 4.6 and Opus 4.6, connector issues in desktop apps, and scaling strains amid surging demand for advanced large language model features. Lower probabilities for fewer days reflect skepticism on quick fixes, with 90-day uptimes hovering near 99% but undermined by daily degradations; watch for Claude 4.7 release or infrastructure announcements as potential catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật12+ 56%
9-11 27%
6-8 25%
3-5 11%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
0-2
9%
3-5
11%
6-8
15%
9-11
24%
12+
68%
12+ 56%
9-11 27%
6-8 25%
3-5 11%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
0-2
$219 KL.
9%
3-5
$633 KL.
11%
6-8
$37 KL.
15%
9-11
$50 KL.
24%
12+
$341 KL.
68%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude AI services have faced frequent disruptions in April 2026, with incidents reported on at least 10 days including April 17 document upload errors, April 16 failures in credential vaults and Claude Cowork startup, and April 15 elevated errors across claude.ai, API, and Claude Code—driving trader consensus toward 12+ downtime days in May at 66% implied probability. These stem from recurring elevated error rates on models like Sonnet 4.6 and Opus 4.6, connector issues in desktop apps, and scaling strains amid surging demand for advanced large language model features. Lower probabilities for fewer days reflect skepticism on quick fixes, with 90-day uptimes hovering near 99% but undermined by daily degradations; watch for Claude 4.7 release or infrastructure announcements as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Thị trường mở: Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,281Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude AI services have faced frequent disruptions in April 2026, with incidents reported on at least 10 days including April 17 document upload errors, April 16 failures in credential vaults and Claude Cowork startup, and April 15 elevated errors across claude.ai, API, and Claude Code—driving trader consensus toward 12+ downtime days in May at 66% implied probability. These stem from recurring elevated error rates on models like Sonnet 4.6 and Opus 4.6, connector issues in desktop apps, and scaling strains amid surging demand for advanced large language model features. Lower probabilities for fewer days reflect skepticism on quick fixes, with 90-day uptimes hovering near 99% but undermined by daily degradations; watch for Claude 4.7 release or infrastructure announcements as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Khối lượng
$1,281Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude AI services have faced frequent disruptions in April 2026, with incidents reported on at least 10 days including April 17 document upload errors, April 16 failures in credential vaults and Claude Cowork startup, and April 15 elevated errors across claude.ai, API, and Claude Code—driving trader consensus toward 12+ downtime days in May at 66% implied probability. These stem from recurring elevated error rates on models like Sonnet 4.6 and Opus 4.6, connector issues in desktop apps, and scaling strains amid surging demand for advanced large language model features. Lower probabilities for fewer days reflect skepticism on quick fixes, with 90-day uptimes hovering near 99% but undermined by daily degradations; watch for Claude 4.7 release or infrastructure announcements as potential catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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