Macro dashboard | Polymarket

儀表板

選舉

初選

宏觀

美聯儲利率

特朗普

中期選舉

財報

體育

奧斯卡

宏觀儀表板

US recession by end of 2026?

18% 機率

經濟

Fed rate hike in 2026?

43%

機率

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

10%

機率

關鍵選舉

5月

Colombia

Presidential

87%
Abelardo de la Espriella
13%
Iván Cepeda Castro
<1%
Vicky Dávila (IND)
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

10月

Brazil

Presidential

50%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
26%
Flávio Bolsonaro
13%
Renan Santos
2%
Camilo Santana

地緣政治

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

機率

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

24%

機率

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

20%

機率

宏觀儀表板

US recession by end of 2026?

18% 機率

經濟

Fed rate hike in 2026?

43%

機率

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

10%

機率

關鍵選舉

5月

Colombia

Presidential

87%
Abelardo de la Espriella
13%
Iván Cepeda Castro
<1%
Vicky Dávila (IND)
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

10月

Brazil

Presidential

50%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
26%
Flávio Bolsonaro
13%
Renan Santos
2%
Camilo Santana

地緣政治

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

機率

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

24%

機率

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

20%

機率