The demanding conditions at Shinnecock Hills, with its firm fairways, thick rough, and wind exposure, have kept the U.S. Open market wide open, as reflected in the bunched probabilities among top contenders. Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and approach play give him the highest implied probability, though his 2026 results show more top finishes than outright wins. Rory McIlroy enters with momentum from his Masters victory and strong recent major showings, while players like Tommy Fleetwood, Xander Schauffele, Jon Rahm, and Matt Fitzpatrick benefit from proven U.S. Open track records and current form in iron-heavy setups. This depth of talent across the field, combined with the course's emphasis on precision over power, sustains competitive dynamics and limits any single golfer from pulling away in trader pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Scottie Scheffler 13%
Rory McIlroy 6%
Tommy Fleetwood 4.8%
Xander Schauffele 4.5%
$106,787 交易量
$106,787 交易量
Scottie Scheffler
13%
Rory McIlroy
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Jon Rahm
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Sam Burns
2%
Bryson DeChambeau
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Tyrrell Hatton
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
J.J. Spaun
2%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Jordan Spieth
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Harris English
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Jake Knapp
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
David Puig
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Jackson Koivun
1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
JT Poston
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Jayden Schaper
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Jackson Suber
<1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
<1%
Lucas Herbert
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Benjamin James
<1%
Ben Kohles
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Matthew Jordan
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Cole Hammer
<1%
Nick Hardy
<1%
Graeme McDowell
<1%
Carlos Ortiz
<1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Nathan Kimsey
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 13%
Rory McIlroy 6%
Tommy Fleetwood 4.8%
Xander Schauffele 4.5%
$106,787 交易量
$106,787 交易量
Scottie Scheffler
13%
Rory McIlroy
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Jon Rahm
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Sam Burns
2%
Bryson DeChambeau
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Tyrrell Hatton
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
J.J. Spaun
2%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Jordan Spieth
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Harris English
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Jake Knapp
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
David Puig
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Jackson Koivun
1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
JT Poston
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Jayden Schaper
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Jackson Suber
<1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
<1%
Lucas Herbert
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Benjamin James
<1%
Ben Kohles
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Matthew Jordan
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Cole Hammer
<1%
Nick Hardy
<1%
Graeme McDowell
<1%
Carlos Ortiz
<1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Nathan Kimsey
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The demanding conditions at Shinnecock Hills, with its firm fairways, thick rough, and wind exposure, have kept the U.S. Open market wide open, as reflected in the bunched probabilities among top contenders. Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and approach play give him the highest implied probability, though his 2026 results show more top finishes than outright wins. Rory McIlroy enters with momentum from his Masters victory and strong recent major showings, while players like Tommy Fleetwood, Xander Schauffele, Jon Rahm, and Matt Fitzpatrick benefit from proven U.S. Open track records and current form in iron-heavy setups. This depth of talent across the field, combined with the course's emphasis on precision over power, sustains competitive dynamics and limits any single golfer from pulling away in trader pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions