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icon for 亞馬遜州參議院選舉：第一名
政治·巴西

亞馬遜州參議院選舉：第一名

icon for 亞馬遜州參議院選舉：第一名
政治·巴西

亞馬遜州參議院選舉：第一名

埃萬德羅·德·奧利維拉 44%

Plinio Valério 44%

威爾森·利馬 44%

薩薩·杜·亞馬遜斯 44%

Polymarket
最新

埃萬德羅·德·奧利維拉 44%

Plinio Valério 44%

威爾森·利馬 44%

薩薩·杜·亞馬遜斯 44%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 埃萬德羅·德·奧利維拉

埃萬德羅·德·奧利維拉

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Plinio Valério

Plinio Valério

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 威爾森·利馬

威爾森·利馬

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 薩薩·杜·亞馬遜斯

薩薩·杜·亞馬遜斯

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 伊斯梅爾·穆杜魯庫

伊斯梅爾·穆杜魯庫

$0 交易量

44%

icon for 教授伊凡妮

教授伊凡妮

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Dailson Corrêa

Dailson Corrêa

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 愛德華多·布拉加

愛德華多·布拉加

$0 交易量

43%

icon for 卡皮唐·阿爾貝托·內托

卡皮唐·阿爾貝托·內托

$0 交易量

40%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) leads recent polling averages for one of the two Amazonas Federal Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet the contest for first place remains fluid among a field that includes Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and several others. Wilson Lima’s April resignation from the governorship to enter the race, combined with ongoing candidate registrations through mid-August, has sustained uncertainty over final ballot positioning and voter consolidation. Incumbency advantages for Braga and Valério contrast with Alberto Neto’s party momentum and Lima’s name recognition in the interior, while lower-visibility contenders fragment support. These factors, alongside limited late-cycle polling and the majoritarian rules for the two seats, underpin trader views of a narrow race where shifts in alliances or turnout could reorder the top finishers.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) leads recent polling averages for one of the two Amazonas Federal Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet the contest for first place remains fluid among a field that includes Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and several others. Wilson Lima’s April resignation from the governorship to enter the race, combined with ongoing candidate registrations through mid-August, has sustained uncertainty over final ballot positioning and voter consolidation. Incumbency advantages for Braga and Valério contrast with Alberto Neto’s party momentum and Lima’s name recognition in the interior, while lower-visibility contenders fragment support. These factors, alongside limited late-cycle polling and the majoritarian rules for the two seats, underpin trader views of a narrow race where shifts in alliances or turnout could reorder the top finishers.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"亞馬遜州參議院選舉：第一名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "埃萬德羅·德·奧利維拉" at 44%, followed by "Plinio Valério" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"亞馬遜州參議院選舉：第一名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "亞馬遜州參議院選舉：第一名," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "亞馬遜州參議院選舉：第一名" is "埃萬德羅·德·奧利維拉" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Plinio Valério" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "亞馬遜州參議院選舉：第一名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.