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CA-37 Primary Winners

icon for CA-37 Primary Winners

CA-37 Primary Winners

$9,178 交易量

2026-06-02
Polymarket

$9,178 交易量

Polymarket

Sydney Kamlager-Dove

$608 交易量

99%

Baltazar Fedalizo

$4,558 交易量

65%

Samantha Mota

$133 交易量

47%

Elizabeth Fenner

$149 交易量

43%

John Thompson Parker

$258 交易量

3%

Todd Lombardo

$2,690 交易量

2%

Steven Hill

$224 交易量

2%

Ryan Duckett

$65 交易量

2%

Juan Rey

$491 交易量

46%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 37th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 37th Congressional District featured incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove against several Democratic challengers and Republican Baltazar Fedalizo in a safely Democratic Los Angeles-area seat. Early vote tallies showed Kamlager-Dove securing a commanding lead above 50 percent, positioning her to advance alongside Fedalizo in second place under the state's nonpartisan primary rules that send the top two finishers regardless of party to the November general election. Trader sentiment reflects this clear frontrunner status for the incumbent, driven by her established name recognition, prior primary performance exceeding 70 percent, and the district's strong Democratic lean, with limited volatility expected absent late shifts in remaining vote counts.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 37th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$9,178
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 37th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 37th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 37th Congressional District featured incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove against several Democratic challengers and Republican Baltazar Fedalizo in a safely Democratic Los Angeles-area seat. Early vote tallies showed Kamlager-Dove securing a commanding lead above 50 percent, positioning her to advance alongside Fedalizo in second place under the state's nonpartisan primary rules that send the top two finishers regardless of party to the November general election. Trader sentiment reflects this clear frontrunner status for the incumbent, driven by her established name recognition, prior primary performance exceeding 70 percent, and the district's strong Democratic lean, with limited volatility expected absent late shifts in remaining vote counts.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 37th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$9,178
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 37th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-37 Primary Winners" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sydney Kamlager-Dove" at 99%, followed by "Baltazar Fedalizo" at 65%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CA-37 Primary Winners" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CA-37 Primary Winners," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-37 Primary Winners" is "Sydney Kamlager-Dove" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Baltazar Fedalizo" at 65%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-37 Primary Winners" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.