Geopolitical supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict, including de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC members, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices near $95 per barrel. These constraints have produced sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA reporting consecutive large U.S. stockpile declines that have offset softer demand growth forecasts. Traders are monitoring the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting for any output adjustments, weekly EIA inventory releases, and diplomatic signals on U.S.-Iran negotiations that could ease or sustain the risk premium into month-end. While longer-term forecasts point to lower equilibrium levels around $60–$80 per barrel once flows normalize, near-term price action hinges on the pace of Middle East production recovery and any last-minute shifts in shipping or ceasefire prospects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於原油（ CL ）高於6月底的___ ？
原油（ CL ）高於6月底的___ ？
$134,297 交易量
2026-06-30
90美元
53%
85美元
71%
80美元
82%
75美元
87%
70美元
94%
$65
96%
63美元
98%
60美元
98%
56美元
97%
55美元
98%
52美元
99%
50美元
99%
$134,297 交易量
90美元
$26,549 交易量
53%
85美元
$7,089 交易量
71%
80美元
$6,036 交易量
82%
75美元
$16,860 交易量
87%
70美元
$20,296 交易量
94%
$65
$877 交易量
96%
63美元
$9,105 交易量
98%
60美元
$23,495 交易量
98%
56美元
$4,950 交易量
97%
55美元
$3,634 交易量
98%
52美元
$6,332 交易量
99%
50美元
$9,074 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict, including de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC members, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices near $95 per barrel. These constraints have produced sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA reporting consecutive large U.S. stockpile declines that have offset softer demand growth forecasts. Traders are monitoring the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting for any output adjustments, weekly EIA inventory releases, and diplomatic signals on U.S.-Iran negotiations that could ease or sustain the risk premium into month-end. While longer-term forecasts point to lower equilibrium levels around $60–$80 per barrel once flows normalize, near-term price action hinges on the pace of Middle East production recovery and any last-minute shifts in shipping or ceasefire prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間： Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$134,297結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict, including de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC members, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices near $95 per barrel. These constraints have produced sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA reporting consecutive large U.S. stockpile declines that have offset softer demand growth forecasts. Traders are monitoring the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting for any output adjustments, weekly EIA inventory releases, and diplomatic signals on U.S.-Iran negotiations that could ease or sustain the risk premium into month-end. While longer-term forecasts point to lower equilibrium levels around $60–$80 per barrel once flows normalize, near-term price action hinges on the pace of Middle East production recovery and any last-minute shifts in shipping or ceasefire prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$134,297結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETGeopolitical supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict, including de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other OPEC members, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices near $95 per barrel. These constraints have produced sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA reporting consecutive large U.S. stockpile declines that have offset softer demand growth forecasts. Traders are monitoring the June 7 OPEC+ ministerial meeting for any output adjustments, weekly EIA inventory releases, and diplomatic signals on U.S.-Iran negotiations that could ease or sustain the risk premium into month-end. While longer-term forecasts point to lower equilibrium levels around $60–$80 per barrel once flows normalize, near-term price action hinges on the pace of Middle East production recovery and any last-minute shifts in shipping or ceasefire prospects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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