Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) dominates trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for the Chamber of Representatives election winner, driven by official results from the recent legislative leadership vote where PH's candidate secured a commanding majority through coalition support in the 188-seat body. Key factors include PH's strategic alliances with centro-left parties, overcoming fragmented opposition from Centro Democrático and Liberals, amid President Petro's push for agenda control. Recent developments, like the plenary session confirmation without major challenges, solidify this position. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim but could involve court-mandated recounts or defection of allied lawmakers before final certification, though historical precedents favor stability in such votes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於為哥倫比亞歷史契約（PH） 99.6%
哥倫比亞自由黨（PLC） <1%
民主中心黨（CD） <1%
激進變革黨（CR） <1%
$5,244,673 交易量
$5,244,673 交易量
Mar 8, 2026
為哥倫比亞歷史契約（PH）
100%
哥倫比亞自由黨（PLC）
<1%
民主中心黨（CD）
<1%
激進變革黨（CR）
<1%
哥倫比亞保守黨（保守黨）
<1%
綠黨
<1%
U黨（La U）
<1%
MIRA‑CJL聯盟（MIRA‑CJL）
<1%
為哥倫比亞歷史契約（PH） 99.6%
哥倫比亞自由黨（PLC） <1%
民主中心黨（CD） <1%
激進變革黨（CR） <1%
$5,244,673 交易量
$5,244,673 交易量
Mar 8, 2026
為哥倫比亞歷史契約（PH）
$373,877 交易量
100%
哥倫比亞自由黨（PLC）
$153,162 交易量
<1%
民主中心黨（CD）
$183,395 交易量
<1%
激進變革黨（CR）
$2,297,752 交易量
<1%
哥倫比亞保守黨（保守黨）
$157,383 交易量
<1%
綠黨
$30,558 交易量
<1%
U黨（La U）
$973,140 交易量
<1%
MIRA‑CJL聯盟（MIRA‑CJL）
$1,075,406 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
交易量
$5,244,673結束日期
Mar 8, 2026市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$5,244,673結束日期
Mar 8, 2026市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) dominates trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for the Chamber of Representatives election winner, driven by official results from the recent legislative leadership vote where PH's candidate secured a commanding majority through coalition support in the 188-seat body. Key factors include PH's strategic alliances with centro-left parties, overcoming fragmented opposition from Centro Democrático and Liberals, amid President Petro's push for agenda control. Recent developments, like the plenary session confirmation without major challenges, solidify this position. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim but could involve court-mandated recounts or defection of allied lawmakers before final certification, though historical precedents favor stability in such votes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions