Trader consensus positions Kimi Antonelli as the frontrunner at 47% implied probability for the 2026 FIA Action of the Year award, propelled by his maiden Chinese Grand Prix triumph on March 15 and dramatic recovery from sixth on lap one to victory at the Japanese Grand Prix two weeks later, marking back-to-back wins that vaulted him into the championship lead with standout overtakes and raw pace. Max Verstappen trails at 36.5% on his signature aggressive defending and consistent podium threats amid 2026 regulation frustrations, like his pointed on-track gestures toward rivals. Esteban Ocon (28.5%), Franco Colapinto (26%), and Pierre Gasly (26%) gain traction from wheel-to-wheel drama, including Colapinto's high-stakes tangle with Ocon in China and Gasly's resilient points haul defending against challengers in Japan.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Kimi Antonelli 34%
Max Verstappen 25%
Nico Hulkenberg 22.9%
Valtteri Bottas 22.1%
Kimi Antonelli
47%
Max Verstappen
37%
Nico Hulkenberg
23%
Valtteri Bottas
22%
Lance Stroll
21%
Charles Leclerc
18%
George Russell
11%
Lewis Hamilton
26%
Oscar Piastri
4%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Lando Norris
8%
Alexander Albon
14%
Carlos Sainz
15%
Fernando Alonso
14%
Gabriel Bortoleto
14%
Oliver Bearman
15%
Isack Hadjar
14%
Liam Lawson
10%
Sergio Perez
23%
Esteban Ocon
27%
Kimi Antonelli 34%
Max Verstappen 25%
Nico Hulkenberg 22.9%
Valtteri Bottas 22.1%
Kimi Antonelli
47%
Max Verstappen
37%
Nico Hulkenberg
23%
Valtteri Bottas
22%
Lance Stroll
21%
Charles Leclerc
18%
George Russell
11%
Lewis Hamilton
26%
Oscar Piastri
4%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Lando Norris
8%
Alexander Albon
14%
Carlos Sainz
15%
Fernando Alonso
14%
Gabriel Bortoleto
14%
Oliver Bearman
15%
Isack Hadjar
14%
Liam Lawson
10%
Sergio Perez
23%
Esteban Ocon
27%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Kimi Antonelli as the frontrunner at 47% implied probability for the 2026 FIA Action of the Year award, propelled by his maiden Chinese Grand Prix triumph on March 15 and dramatic recovery from sixth on lap one to victory at the Japanese Grand Prix two weeks later, marking back-to-back wins that vaulted him into the championship lead with standout overtakes and raw pace. Max Verstappen trails at 36.5% on his signature aggressive defending and consistent podium threats amid 2026 regulation frustrations, like his pointed on-track gestures toward rivals. Esteban Ocon (28.5%), Franco Colapinto (26%), and Pierre Gasly (26%) gain traction from wheel-to-wheel drama, including Colapinto's high-stakes tangle with Ocon in China and Gasly's resilient points haul defending against challengers in Japan.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions