The 2026 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for April 10-12 as the fourth round, was officially cancelled on March 14 due to escalating regional instability from the 2026 Iran war, prompting Formula 1 to prioritize safety and scrap both Bahrain and Saudi Arabian events, reducing the calendar to 22 races. This geopolitical development nullified all driver podium finish markets, resolving without payouts as no race occurred, overriding pre-season testing insights where traders favored Alpine's Esteban Ocon (55% implied probability) and Pierre Gasly (53%) based on strong Bahrain test pace, car upgrades, and historical Sakhir performance under new 2026 regulations. No rescheduling has been announced, leaving a five-week gap before Miami.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$105,433 交易量
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
52%
費爾南多·阿隆索
51%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
52%
Gabriel Bortoleto
48%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
49%
夏爾·勒克萊爾
51%
埃斯特班·奧康
51%
蘭多·諾里斯
50%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
49%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
50%
Franco Colapinto
47%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯二世
51%
Nico Hulkenberg
51%
瓦尔特利·博塔斯
50%
劉易斯·漢米爾頓
50%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
52%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
51%
喬治·羅素
51%
Arvid Lindblad
52%
Isack Hadjar
52%
利亞姆·勞森
50%
$105,433 交易量
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
52%
費爾南多·阿隆索
51%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
52%
Gabriel Bortoleto
48%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
49%
夏爾·勒克萊爾
51%
埃斯特班·奧康
51%
蘭多·諾里斯
50%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
49%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
50%
Franco Colapinto
47%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯二世
51%
Nico Hulkenberg
51%
瓦尔特利·博塔斯
50%
劉易斯·漢米爾頓
50%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
52%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
51%
喬治·羅素
51%
Arvid Lindblad
52%
Isack Hadjar
52%
利亞姆·勞森
50%
The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
市場開放時間: Mar 14, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The 2026 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for April 10-12 as the fourth round, was officially cancelled on March 14 due to escalating regional instability from the 2026 Iran war, prompting Formula 1 to prioritize safety and scrap both Bahrain and Saudi Arabian events, reducing the calendar to 22 races. This geopolitical development nullified all driver podium finish markets, resolving without payouts as no race occurred, overriding pre-season testing insights where traders favored Alpine's Esteban Ocon (55% implied probability) and Pierre Gasly (53%) based on strong Bahrain test pace, car upgrades, and historical Sakhir performance under new 2026 regulations. No rescheduling has been announced, leaving a five-week gap before Miami.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions