Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race due to the state's deep Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent preference for Democratic candidates in statewide contests. As the sitting governor since 2023, Green benefits from incumbency advantages, a solid approval rating tied to his response to the 2023 wildfires, and the absence of formidable primary or general election challengers. Republican contenders face structural barriers in a state where Democrats have long dominated legislative and executive outcomes. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected surge in turnout among Republican-leaning voters could still shift the race, though historical patterns and current polling trends make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
4%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$3,692 交易量
94%
共和黨
$5,177 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race due to the state's deep Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent preference for Democratic candidates in statewide contests. As the sitting governor since 2023, Green benefits from incumbency advantages, a solid approval rating tied to his response to the 2023 wildfires, and the absence of formidable primary or general election challengers. Republican contenders face structural barriers in a state where Democrats have long dominated legislative and executive outcomes. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected surge in turnout among Republican-leaning voters could still shift the race, though historical patterns and current polling trends make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$8,869結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race due to the state's deep Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent preference for Democratic candidates in statewide contests. As the sitting governor since 2023, Green benefits from incumbency advantages, a solid approval rating tied to his response to the 2023 wildfires, and the absence of formidable primary or general election challengers. Republican contenders face structural barriers in a state where Democrats have long dominated legislative and executive outcomes. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected surge in turnout among Republican-leaning voters could still shift the race, though historical patterns and current polling trends make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$8,869結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race due to the state's deep Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent preference for Democratic candidates in statewide contests. As the sitting governor since 2023, Green benefits from incumbency advantages, a solid approval rating tied to his response to the 2023 wildfires, and the absence of formidable primary or general election challengers. Republican contenders face structural barriers in a state where Democrats have long dominated legislative and executive outcomes. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected surge in turnout among Republican-leaning voters could still shift the race, though historical patterns and current polling trends make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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