Incumbent Democrat Josh Green’s re-election bid drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in Hawaii’s 2026 gubernatorial contest. The state’s long-standing partisan voting patterns, reflected in its Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, combined with Green’s incumbency and limited Republican primary opposition, underpin this positioning ahead of the August 8 primaries and November general election. Historical results in statewide races and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or candidate dynamics reinforce expectations of continuity. Late developments such as a primary surprise, significant scandal, or unforeseen turnout changes could still alter outcomes, though such scenarios remain uncommon in this environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
4%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$3,692 交易量
94%
共和黨
$5,177 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Green’s re-election bid drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in Hawaii’s 2026 gubernatorial contest. The state’s long-standing partisan voting patterns, reflected in its Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, combined with Green’s incumbency and limited Republican primary opposition, underpin this positioning ahead of the August 8 primaries and November general election. Historical results in statewide races and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or candidate dynamics reinforce expectations of continuity. Late developments such as a primary surprise, significant scandal, or unforeseen turnout changes could still alter outcomes, though such scenarios remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$8,869結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Green’s re-election bid drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in Hawaii’s 2026 gubernatorial contest. The state’s long-standing partisan voting patterns, reflected in its Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, combined with Green’s incumbency and limited Republican primary opposition, underpin this positioning ahead of the August 8 primaries and November general election. Historical results in statewide races and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or candidate dynamics reinforce expectations of continuity. Late developments such as a primary surprise, significant scandal, or unforeseen turnout changes could still alter outcomes, though such scenarios remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$8,869結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Green’s re-election bid drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in Hawaii’s 2026 gubernatorial contest. The state’s long-standing partisan voting patterns, reflected in its Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, combined with Green’s incumbency and limited Republican primary opposition, underpin this positioning ahead of the August 8 primaries and November general election. Historical results in statewide races and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or candidate dynamics reinforce expectations of continuity. Late developments such as a primary surprise, significant scandal, or unforeseen turnout changes could still alter outcomes, though such scenarios remain uncommon in this environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions