Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green secured his party's nomination with nearly 89 percent of the primary vote in August 2026 and enters the November general election against Republican businessman Gary Cordery, who won his primary with about 76 percent. Hawaii's consistent Democratic control of the governorship since 2010, combined with the state's partisan voting patterns and Green's fundraising edge, underpins trader expectations of a decisive outcome. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's assessment of limited Republican viability. Potential shifts remain possible from unforeseen events such as major scandals or health developments before Election Day, though no such factors have emerged to date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$16,329 交易量
$16,329 交易量
2026-11-02
喬希·格林（民主黨）
97%
Gary Cordery（共和黨）
2%
$16,329 交易量
$16,329 交易量
2026-11-02
喬希·格林（民主黨）
$7,024 交易量
97%
Gary Cordery（共和黨）
$9,305 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green secured his party's nomination with nearly 89 percent of the primary vote in August 2026 and enters the November general election against Republican businessman Gary Cordery, who won his primary with about 76 percent. Hawaii's consistent Democratic control of the governorship since 2010, combined with the state's partisan voting patterns and Green's fundraising edge, underpins trader expectations of a decisive outcome. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's assessment of limited Republican viability. Potential shifts remain possible from unforeseen events such as major scandals or health developments before Election Day, though no such factors have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$16,329結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green secured his party's nomination with nearly 89 percent of the primary vote in August 2026 and enters the November general election against Republican businessman Gary Cordery, who won his primary with about 76 percent. Hawaii's consistent Democratic control of the governorship since 2010, combined with the state's partisan voting patterns and Green's fundraising edge, underpins trader expectations of a decisive outcome. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's assessment of limited Republican viability. Potential shifts remain possible from unforeseen events such as major scandals or health developments before Election Day, though no such factors have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,329結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETIncumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green secured his party's nomination with nearly 89 percent of the primary vote in August 2026 and enters the November general election against Republican businessman Gary Cordery, who won his primary with about 76 percent. Hawaii's consistent Democratic control of the governorship since 2010, combined with the state's partisan voting patterns and Green's fundraising edge, underpins trader expectations of a decisive outcome. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's assessment of limited Republican viability. Potential shifts remain possible from unforeseen events such as major scandals or health developments before Election Day, though no such factors have emerged to date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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