Official observations from Esenboğa International Airport station (LTAC), aggregated by Wunderground from METAR reports, confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and thunderstorms—forecast by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—suppressed daytime heating despite mild southerly flows, aligning with early May climatology where Ankara highs typically average 20-22°C amid transitional spring patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data; challenges would require rare measurement revisions from primary sources, though model post-analysis and satellite imagery corroborate the cap at 21°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月9日安卡拉的最高溫度？
5月9日安卡拉的最高溫度？
21°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,988 交易量
$67,988 交易量
2026-05-09
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,988 交易量
$67,988 交易量
2026-05-09
14°C或以下
$835 交易量
否
15°C
$1,595 交易量
否
16°C
$893 交易量
否
17°C
$1,851 交易量
否
18°C
$5,641 交易量
否
19°C
$9,374 交易量
否
20°C
$8,379 交易量
否
21°C
$14,541 交易量
是
22°C
$13,002 交易量
否
23°C
$5,864 交易量
否
24°C或以上
$6,013 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Esenboğa International Airport station (LTAC), aggregated by Wunderground from METAR reports, confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and thunderstorms—forecast by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—suppressed daytime heating despite mild southerly flows, aligning with early May climatology where Ankara highs typically average 20-22°C amid transitional spring patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data; challenges would require rare measurement revisions from primary sources, though model post-analysis and satellite imagery corroborate the cap at 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$67,988結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Esenboğa International Airport station (LTAC), aggregated by Wunderground from METAR reports, confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and thunderstorms—forecast by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—suppressed daytime heating despite mild southerly flows, aligning with early May climatology where Ankara highs typically average 20-22°C amid transitional spring patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data; challenges would require rare measurement revisions from primary sources, though model post-analysis and satellite imagery corroborate the cap at 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$67,988結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from Esenboğa International Airport station (LTAC), aggregated by Wunderground from METAR reports, confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and thunderstorms—forecast by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—suppressed daytime heating despite mild southerly flows, aligning with early May climatology where Ankara highs typically average 20-22°C amid transitional spring patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data; challenges would require rare measurement revisions from primary sources, though model post-analysis and satellite imagery corroborate the cap at 21°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions