Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月16日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
6月16日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
90-91°F 100.0%
華氏75度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$42,434 交易量
$42,434 交易量
2026-06-16
華氏75度或以下
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
是
92-93°F
否
華氏94度或更高
否
90-91°F 100.0%
華氏75度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$42,434 交易量
$42,434 交易量
2026-06-16
華氏75度或以下
$2,475 交易量
否
76-77°F
$2,049 交易量
否
78-79°F
$2,668 交易量
否
80-81°F
$6,449 交易量
否
82-83°F
$3,527 交易量
否
84-85°F
$3,659 交易量
否
86-87°F
$4,832 交易量
否
88-89°F
$3,284 交易量
否
90-91°F
$6,070 交易量
是
92-93°F
$4,613 交易量
否
華氏94度或更高
$2,809 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$42,434結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42,434結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions