Recent National Weather Service forecasts and private model consensus for Austin point to a daily maximum temperature near 94–97°F on June 25, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies after early clouds. This pattern supports surface heating near seasonal norms, with heat indices potentially reaching 101–103°F, though variable afternoon cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could cap the peak. Traders have clustered bets around 94–97°F ranges because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day spread and limited potential for either significant cooling or rapid intensification beyond 98°F. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion ahead of the peak heating window remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月25日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
6月25日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
92-93°F 100.0%
華氏87度或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$27,537 交易量
$27,537 交易量
2026-06-25
華氏87度或以下
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
是
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
否
102-103°F
否
104-105°F
否
華氏106度或更高
否
92-93°F 100.0%
華氏87度或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$27,537 交易量
$27,537 交易量
2026-06-25
華氏87度或以下
$937 交易量
否
88-89°F
$1,313 交易量
否
90-91°F
$3,814 交易量
否
92-93°F
$5,642 交易量
是
94-95°F
$3,229 交易量
否
96-97°F
$2,338 交易量
否
98-99°F
$1,658 交易量
否
100-101°F
$767 交易量
否
102-103°F
$870 交易量
否
104-105°F
$4,342 交易量
否
華氏106度或更高
$2,626 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and private model consensus for Austin point to a daily maximum temperature near 94–97°F on June 25, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies after early clouds. This pattern supports surface heating near seasonal norms, with heat indices potentially reaching 101–103°F, though variable afternoon cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could cap the peak. Traders have clustered bets around 94–97°F ranges because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day spread and limited potential for either significant cooling or rapid intensification beyond 98°F. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion ahead of the peak heating window remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$27,537結束日期
2026-06-25市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and private model consensus for Austin point to a daily maximum temperature near 94–97°F on June 25, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies after early clouds. This pattern supports surface heating near seasonal norms, with heat indices potentially reaching 101–103°F, though variable afternoon cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could cap the peak. Traders have clustered bets around 94–97°F ranges because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day spread and limited potential for either significant cooling or rapid intensification beyond 98°F. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion ahead of the peak heating window remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,537結束日期
2026-06-25市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and private model consensus for Austin point to a daily maximum temperature near 94–97°F on June 25, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies after early clouds. This pattern supports surface heating near seasonal norms, with heat indices potentially reaching 101–103°F, though variable afternoon cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could cap the peak. Traders have clustered bets around 94–97°F ranges because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day spread and limited potential for either significant cooling or rapid intensification beyond 98°F. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion ahead of the peak heating window remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions