National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature of 85–92°F on May 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Current midday observations already exceed 81°F, confirming rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows near 70°F, consistent with May climatological norms averaging 87°F highs. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal cooling risk before peak heating in early afternoon. Evening severe thunderstorms with slight risk of damaging winds and hail could cap extremes but are unlikely to retroactively drop the daily maximum below threshold, per official guidance; monitor hourly updates through sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月10日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
華氏74度或以上 100.0%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$149,058 交易量
$149,058 交易量
55°F或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65華氏度
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
華氏74度或以上
是
華氏74度或以上 100.0%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$149,058 交易量
$149,058 交易量
55°F或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65華氏度
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
華氏74度或以上
是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature of 85–92°F on May 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Current midday observations already exceed 81°F, confirming rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows near 70°F, consistent with May climatological norms averaging 87°F highs. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal cooling risk before peak heating in early afternoon. Evening severe thunderstorms with slight risk of damaging winds and hail could cap extremes but are unlikely to retroactively drop the daily maximum below threshold, per official guidance; monitor hourly updates through sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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