Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on May 24?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 24?
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$37,087 交易量
$37,087 交易量
2026-05-24
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
Yes
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$37,087 交易量
$37,087 交易量
2026-05-24
57°F or below
$3,879 交易量
No
58-59°F
$1,428 交易量
No
60-61°F
$781 交易量
No
62-63°F
$1,908 交易量
No
64-65°F
$3,966 交易量
No
66-67°F
$2,258 交易量
No
68-69°F
$1,113 交易量
No
70-71°F
$1,537 交易量
No
72-73°F
$4,405 交易量
No
74-75°F
$6,343 交易量
No
76°F or higher
$9,467 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 22, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
交易量
$37,087結束日期
2026-05-24市場開放時間
May 22, 2026, 12:44 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$37,087結束日期
2026-05-24市場開放時間
May 22, 2026, 12:44 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions