Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 78°F around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 81°F or below. This outcome stems from a cold front passage overnight following severe storms on May 5, which brought cooler mid-level air, persistent partly cloudy skies, and light southwest winds around 5 mph that limited surface heating—well below the May climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus from prior days, including NOAA guidance, accurately forecasted this moderation with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare final data revisions from quality control or minor discrepancies with Camp Mabry readings, though KAUS ASOS data serves as the authoritative resolution source; expect the official daily climatological report within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on May 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 6?
81°F or below 100.0%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$89,039 交易量
$89,039 交易量
2026-05-06
81°F or below
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
81°F or below 100.0%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$89,039 交易量
$89,039 交易量
2026-05-06
81°F or below
$15,505 交易量
Yes
82-83°F
$8,186 交易量
No
84-85°F
$10,440 交易量
No
86-87°F
$9,675 交易量
No
88-89°F
$9,573 交易量
No
90-91°F
$8,902 交易量
No
92-93°F
$6,078 交易量
No
94-95°F
$6,863 交易量
No
96-97°F
$6,561 交易量
No
98-99°F
$5,548 交易量
No
100°F or higher
$1,708 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 78°F around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 81°F or below. This outcome stems from a cold front passage overnight following severe storms on May 5, which brought cooler mid-level air, persistent partly cloudy skies, and light southwest winds around 5 mph that limited surface heating—well below the May climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus from prior days, including NOAA guidance, accurately forecasted this moderation with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare final data revisions from quality control or minor discrepancies with Camp Mabry readings, though KAUS ASOS data serves as the authoritative resolution source; expect the official daily climatological report within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 4, 2026, 1:04 PM ET
交易量
$89,039結束日期
2026-05-06市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 1:04 PM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 78°F around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 81°F or below. This outcome stems from a cold front passage overnight following severe storms on May 5, which brought cooler mid-level air, persistent partly cloudy skies, and light southwest winds around 5 mph that limited surface heating—well below the May climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus from prior days, including NOAA guidance, accurately forecasted this moderation with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare final data revisions from quality control or minor discrepancies with Camp Mabry readings, though KAUS ASOS data serves as the authoritative resolution source; expect the official daily climatological report within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$89,039結束日期
2026-05-06市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 1:04 PM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 78°F around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 81°F or below. This outcome stems from a cold front passage overnight following severe storms on May 5, which brought cooler mid-level air, persistent partly cloudy skies, and light southwest winds around 5 mph that limited surface heating—well below the May climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus from prior days, including NOAA guidance, accurately forecasted this moderation with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare final data revisions from quality control or minor discrepancies with Camp Mabry readings, though KAUS ASOS data serves as the authoritative resolution source; expect the official daily climatological report within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions