Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing on June 1 indicate a daily maximum near 36°C, aligning with early-summer climatology where highs typically reach 30–35°C under strengthening subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Official model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows consistent guidance for this peak, driven by seasonal solar heating and southerly flow without significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% for the 36°C outcome reflects this strong alignment in real-time observational data and short-range model runs. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns or rapid cooling from unforecast convective activity that lowers the verified high below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月1日北京最高溫度?
36°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$107,408 交易量
$107,408 交易量
30°C或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
是
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或以上
否
36°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$107,408 交易量
$107,408 交易量
30°C或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
是
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing on June 1 indicate a daily maximum near 36°C, aligning with early-summer climatology where highs typically reach 30–35°C under strengthening subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Official model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows consistent guidance for this peak, driven by seasonal solar heating and southerly flow without significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% for the 36°C outcome reflects this strong alignment in real-time observational data and short-range model runs. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns or rapid cooling from unforecast convective activity that lowers the verified high below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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