Recent forecasts for Beijing indicate highs near 32–33°C on June 26 under partly cloudy to overcast skies, aligning with trader emphasis on those outcomes amid typical early-summer variability. Late-month climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C with occasional peaks to 35°C, while current model guidance notes limited intensification potential due to regional moisture and possible thunderstorms. Key variables include cloud cover reducing insolation, urban heat island effects elevating readings, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow clearer skies or brief heat buildup. The dispersed probabilities reflect forecast uncertainty typical two days out, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月26日北京最高溫度?
34°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$102,191 交易量
$102,191 交易量
30°C或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或更高
否
34°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$102,191 交易量
$102,191 交易量
30°C或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts for Beijing indicate highs near 32–33°C on June 26 under partly cloudy to overcast skies, aligning with trader emphasis on those outcomes amid typical early-summer variability. Late-month climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C with occasional peaks to 35°C, while current model guidance notes limited intensification potential due to regional moisture and possible thunderstorms. Key variables include cloud cover reducing insolation, urban heat island effects elevating readings, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow clearer skies or brief heat buildup. The dispersed probabilities reflect forecast uncertainty typical two days out, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions