Official meteorological observations from Beijing's automated weather stations, including those at the Capital International Airport and central observatory, confirm the daily high reached exactly 33°C around early afternoon on May 12 under clear skies and light southerly winds that enhanced solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration reports of northern China warming above seasonal norms, with diurnal peaks typically occurring between 1-3 PM local time before cooling rapidly post-sunset. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, as current evening temperatures have dropped to the low 20s°C with no potential for further highs. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from official sources or an unreported outlier station reading, both improbable given standardized measurement protocols. Final resolution awaits CMA's daily summary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on May 12?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 12?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$133,275 交易量
$133,275 交易量
2026-05-12
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$133,275 交易量
$133,275 交易量
2026-05-12
29°C or below
$19,006 交易量
No
30°C
$14,440 交易量
No
31°C
$19,244 交易量
No
32°C
$23,844 交易量
No
33°C
$18,088 交易量
Yes
34°C
$12,343 交易量
No
35°C
$9,598 交易量
No
36°C
$7,247 交易量
No
37°C
$3,585 交易量
No
38°C
$2,866 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$3,015 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Beijing's automated weather stations, including those at the Capital International Airport and central observatory, confirm the daily high reached exactly 33°C around early afternoon on May 12 under clear skies and light southerly winds that enhanced solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration reports of northern China warming above seasonal norms, with diurnal peaks typically occurring between 1-3 PM local time before cooling rapidly post-sunset. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, as current evening temperatures have dropped to the low 20s°C with no potential for further highs. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from official sources or an unreported outlier station reading, both improbable given standardized measurement protocols. Final resolution awaits CMA's daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 10, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
交易量
$133,275結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
May 10, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Beijing's automated weather stations, including those at the Capital International Airport and central observatory, confirm the daily high reached exactly 33°C around early afternoon on May 12 under clear skies and light southerly winds that enhanced solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration reports of northern China warming above seasonal norms, with diurnal peaks typically occurring between 1-3 PM local time before cooling rapidly post-sunset. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, as current evening temperatures have dropped to the low 20s°C with no potential for further highs. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from official sources or an unreported outlier station reading, both improbable given standardized measurement protocols. Final resolution awaits CMA's daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$133,275結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
May 10, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official meteorological observations from Beijing's automated weather stations, including those at the Capital International Airport and central observatory, confirm the daily high reached exactly 33°C around early afternoon on May 12 under clear skies and light southerly winds that enhanced solar heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration reports of northern China warming above seasonal norms, with diurnal peaks typically occurring between 1-3 PM local time before cooling rapidly post-sunset. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, as current evening temperatures have dropped to the low 20s°C with no potential for further highs. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from official sources or an unreported outlier station reading, both improbable given standardized measurement protocols. Final resolution awaits CMA's daily summary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions