The overwhelming trader consensus for a 27°C high in Beijing on May 21 reflects current observational data and forecast model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration showing a peak afternoon temperature of exactly that value under stable high-pressure conditions. Recent surface analyses indicate light winds, partly cloudy skies, and a modest warming trend consistent with mid-May climatology for the North China Plain, where typical maxima fall between 24–28°C. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited afternoon heating potential and no significant advection of warmer air masses. A shift could occur only if unexpected clear-sky intensification or a delayed frontal passage boosts insolation beyond modeled levels, though current radar and satellite trends make such revisions unlikely before evening observations finalize the official reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on May 21?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$122,909 交易量
$122,909 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$122,909 交易量
$122,909 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The overwhelming trader consensus for a 27°C high in Beijing on May 21 reflects current observational data and forecast model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration showing a peak afternoon temperature of exactly that value under stable high-pressure conditions. Recent surface analyses indicate light winds, partly cloudy skies, and a modest warming trend consistent with mid-May climatology for the North China Plain, where typical maxima fall between 24–28°C. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited afternoon heating potential and no significant advection of warmer air masses. A shift could occur only if unexpected clear-sky intensification or a delayed frontal passage boosts insolation beyond modeled levels, though current radar and satellite trends make such revisions unlikely before evening observations finalize the official reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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