Current meteorological forecasts from official agencies indicate Beijing will reach a daily high of 22°C on May 22 under rainy conditions that suppress daytime heating and limit solar radiation. Regional models show consistent southerly flow with cloud cover and precipitation holding temperatures near seasonal norms for late spring, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Historical May averages in Beijing range from 25–27°C, yet today's specific atmospheric setup—marked by elevated humidity and reduced insolation—supports the lower peak. Updated model runs or real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration could shift resolution if unexpected clearing occurs, though such revisions remain improbable given the stability of current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on May 22?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$94,936 交易量
$94,936 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$94,936 交易量
$94,936 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current meteorological forecasts from official agencies indicate Beijing will reach a daily high of 22°C on May 22 under rainy conditions that suppress daytime heating and limit solar radiation. Regional models show consistent southerly flow with cloud cover and precipitation holding temperatures near seasonal norms for late spring, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Historical May averages in Beijing range from 25–27°C, yet today's specific atmospheric setup—marked by elevated humidity and reduced insolation—supports the lower peak. Updated model runs or real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration could shift resolution if unexpected clearing occurs, though such revisions remain improbable given the stability of current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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