Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on May 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 23?
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$73,981 交易量
$73,981 交易量
2026-05-23
26°C or below
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$73,981 交易量
$73,981 交易量
2026-05-23
26°C or below
$21,072 交易量
Yes
27°C
$17,075 交易量
No
28°C
$12,575 交易量
No
29°C
$8,760 交易量
No
30°C
$4,739 交易量
No
31°C
$3,366 交易量
No
32°C
$1,818 交易量
No
33°C
$1,103 交易量
No
34°C
$883 交易量
No
35°C
$868 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$1,723 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
交易量
$73,981結束日期
2026-05-23市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$73,981結束日期
2026-05-23市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions