Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 2?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 2?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,475 交易量
$78,475 交易量
2026-05-02
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,475 交易量
$78,475 交易量
2026-05-02
10°C or below
$2,009 交易量
No
11°C
$1,330 交易量
No
12°C
$1,985 交易量
No
13°C
$2,937 交易量
No
14°C
$2,339 交易量
No
15°C
$11,503 交易量
No
16°C
$11,102 交易量
Yes
17°C
$23,833 交易量
No
18°C
$4,608 交易量
No
19°C
$5,678 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$11,152 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$78,475結束日期
2026-05-02市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$78,475結束日期
2026-05-02市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions