Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and real-time observations peg Busan's highest temperature on May 1 at 23–24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and 20% precipitation odds that have capped peak heating from a lingering cool air mass. Hourly readings aligned precisely with model guidance, peaking near 23°C by mid-afternoon under suppressed solar insolation below seasonal norms for early May, when historical averages hover around 20–22°C. This trader consensus reflects strong alignment between official data and skin-in-the-game positioning. A late-day clearing or wind shift could push above 25°C, though diminishing sun angle and overcast persistence make it improbable; final KMA station measurements will confirm resolution by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 1?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,948 交易量
$92,948 交易量
2026-05-01
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,948 交易量
$92,948 交易量
2026-05-01
17°C or below
$4,989 交易量
No
18°C
$5,141 交易量
No
19°C
$8,894 交易量
No
20°C
$8,845 交易量
No
21°C
$7,918 交易量
No
22°C
$11,839 交易量
No
23°C
$19,036 交易量
No
24°C
$11,775 交易量
Yes
25°C
$5,316 交易量
No
26°C
$3,592 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$5,603 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and real-time observations peg Busan's highest temperature on May 1 at 23–24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and 20% precipitation odds that have capped peak heating from a lingering cool air mass. Hourly readings aligned precisely with model guidance, peaking near 23°C by mid-afternoon under suppressed solar insolation below seasonal norms for early May, when historical averages hover around 20–22°C. This trader consensus reflects strong alignment between official data and skin-in-the-game positioning. A late-day clearing or wind shift could push above 25°C, though diminishing sun angle and overcast persistence make it improbable; final KMA station measurements will confirm resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$92,948結束日期
2026-05-01市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and real-time observations peg Busan's highest temperature on May 1 at 23–24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and 20% precipitation odds that have capped peak heating from a lingering cool air mass. Hourly readings aligned precisely with model guidance, peaking near 23°C by mid-afternoon under suppressed solar insolation below seasonal norms for early May, when historical averages hover around 20–22°C. This trader consensus reflects strong alignment between official data and skin-in-the-game positioning. A late-day clearing or wind shift could push above 25°C, though diminishing sun angle and overcast persistence make it improbable; final KMA station measurements will confirm resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$92,948結束日期
2026-05-01市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and real-time observations peg Busan's highest temperature on May 1 at 23–24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and 20% precipitation odds that have capped peak heating from a lingering cool air mass. Hourly readings aligned precisely with model guidance, peaking near 23°C by mid-afternoon under suppressed solar insolation below seasonal norms for early May, when historical averages hover around 20–22°C. This trader consensus reflects strong alignment between official data and skin-in-the-game positioning. A late-day clearing or wind shift could push above 25°C, though diminishing sun angle and overcast persistence make it improbable; final KMA station measurements will confirm resolution by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions