Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Busan stations, including Gimhae International Airport (RKPK)—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature reached 24°C mid-afternoon on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds of 8–12 mph and moderate humidity around 50–65%. This peak aligns with short-range KMA forecasts projecting 21–23°C highs and global model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicating 22–24°C amid southerly flows tempered by coastal sea breezes, consistent with early May climatology averaging 22°C daytime maxima. Evening readings have fallen below 21°C with rising cloud cover and westerly shifts, solidifying trader consensus at a near-certain implied probability for 24°C. An unforecasted late-day heat burst from sudden clearing or downslope winds could challenge this, though model outputs show negligible support; final KMA daily summary expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on May 7?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$38,020 交易量
$38,020 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$38,020 交易量
$38,020 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Busan stations, including Gimhae International Airport (RKPK)—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature reached 24°C mid-afternoon on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds of 8–12 mph and moderate humidity around 50–65%. This peak aligns with short-range KMA forecasts projecting 21–23°C highs and global model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicating 22–24°C amid southerly flows tempered by coastal sea breezes, consistent with early May climatology averaging 22°C daytime maxima. Evening readings have fallen below 21°C with rising cloud cover and westerly shifts, solidifying trader consensus at a near-certain implied probability for 24°C. An unforecasted late-day heat burst from sudden clearing or downslope winds could challenge this, though model outputs show negligible support; final KMA daily summary expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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