Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration data, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C on May 3, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light showers, evident in recent METAR reports with afternoon readings around 19-22°C, suppressed solar insolation and convective warming, yielding a cooler-than-average day—early May norms hover near 26°C based on historical baselines. This positioning reflects verified station measurements over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to rare data revisions from quality audits, with final CMA bulletins expected imminently to solidify resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 3?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 3?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,312 交易量
$77,312 交易量
2026-05-03
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,312 交易量
$77,312 交易量
2026-05-03
19°C or below
$5,025 交易量
No
20°C
$7,111 交易量
No
21°C
$10,681 交易量
No
22°C
$16,155 交易量
No
23°C
$7,186 交易量
Yes
24°C
$5,805 交易量
No
25°C
$4,291 交易量
No
26°C
$7,115 交易量
No
27°C
$4,490 交易量
No
28°C
$5,580 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$3,874 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration data, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C on May 3, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light showers, evident in recent METAR reports with afternoon readings around 19-22°C, suppressed solar insolation and convective warming, yielding a cooler-than-average day—early May norms hover near 26°C based on historical baselines. This positioning reflects verified station measurements over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to rare data revisions from quality audits, with final CMA bulletins expected imminently to solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 1, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
交易量
$77,312結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:36 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration data, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C on May 3, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light showers, evident in recent METAR reports with afternoon readings around 19-22°C, suppressed solar insolation and convective warming, yielding a cooler-than-average day—early May norms hover near 26°C based on historical baselines. This positioning reflects verified station measurements over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to rare data revisions from quality audits, with final CMA bulletins expected imminently to solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$77,312結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:36 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration data, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C on May 3, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light showers, evident in recent METAR reports with afternoon readings around 19-22°C, suppressed solar insolation and convective warming, yielding a cooler-than-average day—early May norms hover near 26°C based on historical baselines. This positioning reflects verified station measurements over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to rare data revisions from quality audits, with final CMA bulletins expected imminently to solidify resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions