Latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 6 at around 28°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher. Morning observations show temperatures already reaching 23°C under partly sunny skies with light winds under 12 km/h, setting up favorable diurnal heating despite expected afternoon overcast conditions and minimal precipitation risk (under 15%). This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 27–29°C support trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include denser-than-forecast cloud cover suppressing peaks to 27°C or an unforeseen cool air intrusion, though model ensembles show strong agreement; official hourly updates from monitoring stations will refine this through evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 6?
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$24,968 交易量
$24,968 交易量
2026-05-06
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$24,968 交易量
$24,968 交易量
2026-05-06
18°C or below
$371 交易量
No
19°C
$351 交易量
No
20°C
$320 交易量
No
21°C
$445 交易量
No
22°C
$3,361 交易量
No
23°C
$2,292 交易量
No
24°C
$1,961 交易量
No
25°C
$3,839 交易量
No
26°C
$4,749 交易量
No
27°C
$2,774 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$4,504 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 6 at around 28°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher. Morning observations show temperatures already reaching 23°C under partly sunny skies with light winds under 12 km/h, setting up favorable diurnal heating despite expected afternoon overcast conditions and minimal precipitation risk (under 15%). This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 27–29°C support trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include denser-than-forecast cloud cover suppressing peaks to 27°C or an unforeseen cool air intrusion, though model ensembles show strong agreement; official hourly updates from monitoring stations will refine this through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 4, 2026, 12:41 PM ET
交易量
$24,968結束日期
2026-05-06市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 12:41 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 6 at around 28°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher. Morning observations show temperatures already reaching 23°C under partly sunny skies with light winds under 12 km/h, setting up favorable diurnal heating despite expected afternoon overcast conditions and minimal precipitation risk (under 15%). This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 27–29°C support trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include denser-than-forecast cloud cover suppressing peaks to 27°C or an unforeseen cool air intrusion, though model ensembles show strong agreement; official hourly updates from monitoring stations will refine this through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$24,968結束日期
2026-05-06市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 12:41 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 6 at around 28°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher. Morning observations show temperatures already reaching 23°C under partly sunny skies with light winds under 12 km/h, setting up favorable diurnal heating despite expected afternoon overcast conditions and minimal precipitation risk (under 15%). This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 27–29°C support trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include denser-than-forecast cloud cover suppressing peaks to 27°C or an unforeseen cool air intrusion, though model ensembles show strong agreement; official hourly updates from monitoring stations will refine this through evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions