Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 8?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 8?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,806 交易量
$66,806 交易量
2026-05-08
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,806 交易量
$66,806 交易量
2026-05-08
20°C or below
$3,711 交易量
No
21°C
$3,243 交易量
No
22°C
$7,528 交易量
No
23°C
$6,865 交易量
No
24°C
$9,630 交易量
Yes
25°C
$5,279 交易量
No
26°C
$5,605 交易量
No
27°C
$6,326 交易量
No
28°C
$5,394 交易量
No
29°C
$6,862 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$6,361 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$66,806結束日期
2026-05-08市場開放時間
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$66,806結束日期
2026-05-08市場開放時間
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions