Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月7日芝加哥的最高溫度？
7月7日芝加哥的最高溫度？
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$57,886 交易量
$57,886 交易量
2026-07-07
73°F或以下
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
是
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或以上
否
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$57,886 交易量
$57,886 交易量
2026-07-07
73°F或以下
$3,886 交易量
否
74-75°F
$3,865 交易量
否
76-77°F
$3,113 交易量
否
78-79°F
$2,533 交易量
否
80-81°F
$4,687 交易量
否
82-83°F
$9,379 交易量
否
84-85°F
$10,457 交易量
是
86-87°F
$6,710 交易量
否
88-89°F
$4,704 交易量
否
90-91°F
$3,429 交易量
否
92°F或以上
$5,122 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$57,886結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$57,886結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions