Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and climatological normals for early June in Chicago place daily highs near 77–79°F, with recent model runs and observed warmth on June 4 (peaking at 87°F) reinforcing expectations well above the 68°F threshold. This positioning reflects strong consensus in atmospheric conditions, including typical late-spring warming trends and minimal cooling influences, making sub-68°F outcomes statistically improbable. Resolution will depend on official station readings such as Chicago Midway International Airport; only an unprecedented cold front or measurement anomaly could alter the dominant outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on June 5?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 5?
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$40,816 交易量
$40,816 交易量
2026-06-05
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$40,816 交易量
$40,816 交易量
2026-06-05
49°F or below
$381 交易量
No
50-51°F
$1,453 交易量
No
52-53°F
$442 交易量
No
54-55°F
$2,509 交易量
No
56-57°F
$1,326 交易量
No
58-59°F
$370 交易量
No
60-61°F
$1,489 交易量
No
62-63°F
$503 交易量
No
64-65°F
$1,645 交易量
No
66-67°F
$5,702 交易量
No
68°F or higher
$24,996 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and climatological normals for early June in Chicago place daily highs near 77–79°F, with recent model runs and observed warmth on June 4 (peaking at 87°F) reinforcing expectations well above the 68°F threshold. This positioning reflects strong consensus in atmospheric conditions, including typical late-spring warming trends and minimal cooling influences, making sub-68°F outcomes statistically improbable. Resolution will depend on official station readings such as Chicago Midway International Airport; only an unprecedented cold front or measurement anomaly could alter the dominant outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$40,816結束日期
2026-06-05市場開放時間
Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and climatological normals for early June in Chicago place daily highs near 77–79°F, with recent model runs and observed warmth on June 4 (peaking at 87°F) reinforcing expectations well above the 68°F threshold. This positioning reflects strong consensus in atmospheric conditions, including typical late-spring warming trends and minimal cooling influences, making sub-68°F outcomes statistically improbable. Resolution will depend on official station readings such as Chicago Midway International Airport; only an unprecedented cold front or measurement anomaly could alter the dominant outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40,816結束日期
2026-06-05市場開放時間
Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and climatological normals for early June in Chicago place daily highs near 77–79°F, with recent model runs and observed warmth on June 4 (peaking at 87°F) reinforcing expectations well above the 68°F threshold. This positioning reflects strong consensus in atmospheric conditions, including typical late-spring warming trends and minimal cooling influences, making sub-68°F outcomes statistically improbable. Resolution will depend on official station readings such as Chicago Midway International Airport; only an unprecedented cold front or measurement anomaly could alter the dominant outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions