Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD)—the market's authoritative station—recorded a maximum temperature of 58-59°F on May 7, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome, as verified by automated surface weather observations peaking in the early afternoon under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects the dominance of a cool mid-level air mass from a recent Canadian front and persistent upper-level troughing over the Midwest, which suppressed highs well below the climatological May 7 normal of 67°F following May 6's even chillier 56-57°F readings amid light west-northwest winds of 5-10 mph. While resolved with strong evidentiary support from NOAA data, rare challenges could arise from post hoc measurement revisions or disputes over peak-hour sensor readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for standard daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on May 7?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 7?
58-59°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$76,834 交易量
$76,834 交易量
2026-05-07
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
58-59°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$76,834 交易量
$76,834 交易量
2026-05-07
55°F or below
$16,877 交易量
No
56-57°F
$6,023 交易量
No
58-59°F
$12,881 交易量
Yes
60-61°F
$7,348 交易量
No
62-63°F
$9,074 交易量
No
64-65°F
$4,863 交易量
No
66-67°F
$5,138 交易量
No
68-69°F
$3,732 交易量
No
70-71°F
$4,392 交易量
No
72-73°F
$2,907 交易量
No
74°F or higher
$3,598 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD)—the market's authoritative station—recorded a maximum temperature of 58-59°F on May 7, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome, as verified by automated surface weather observations peaking in the early afternoon under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects the dominance of a cool mid-level air mass from a recent Canadian front and persistent upper-level troughing over the Midwest, which suppressed highs well below the climatological May 7 normal of 67°F following May 6's even chillier 56-57°F readings amid light west-northwest winds of 5-10 mph. While resolved with strong evidentiary support from NOAA data, rare challenges could arise from post hoc measurement revisions or disputes over peak-hour sensor readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for standard daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$76,834結束日期
2026-05-07市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD)—the market's authoritative station—recorded a maximum temperature of 58-59°F on May 7, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome, as verified by automated surface weather observations peaking in the early afternoon under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects the dominance of a cool mid-level air mass from a recent Canadian front and persistent upper-level troughing over the Midwest, which suppressed highs well below the climatological May 7 normal of 67°F following May 6's even chillier 56-57°F readings amid light west-northwest winds of 5-10 mph. While resolved with strong evidentiary support from NOAA data, rare challenges could arise from post hoc measurement revisions or disputes over peak-hour sensor readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for standard daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$76,834結束日期
2026-05-07市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD)—the market's authoritative station—recorded a maximum temperature of 58-59°F on May 7, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome, as verified by automated surface weather observations peaking in the early afternoon under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects the dominance of a cool mid-level air mass from a recent Canadian front and persistent upper-level troughing over the Midwest, which suppressed highs well below the climatological May 7 normal of 67°F following May 6's even chillier 56-57°F readings amid light west-northwest winds of 5-10 mph. While resolved with strong evidentiary support from NOAA data, rare challenges could arise from post hoc measurement revisions or disputes over peak-hour sensor readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for standard daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions