Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain implied probability (100%) for a Dallas high temperature of 82-83°F on April 2, driven by official National Weather Service METAR and ASOS observations at Dallas Love Field (KDAL), which recorded a peak of 82°F around mid-afternoon amid southerly winds at 10-15 mph gusting higher, scattered clouds, and ample solar heating following March 2026's record-warm average of 67.6°F. This aligns with forecast model consensus from NOAA, showing above-normal temperatures under a ridge pattern. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc quality-control revisions in the final NWS climatological report, though preliminary data carries strong authority for market resolution. Watch for the daily CLI summary expected within 24-48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Dallas on April 2?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 2?
$138,606 交易量
$138,606 交易量
82-83°F
100%
84°F or higher
<1%
$138,606 交易量
$138,606 交易量
82-83°F
100%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain implied probability (100%) for a Dallas high temperature of 82-83°F on April 2, driven by official National Weather Service METAR and ASOS observations at Dallas Love Field (KDAL), which recorded a peak of 82°F around mid-afternoon amid southerly winds at 10-15 mph gusting higher, scattered clouds, and ample solar heating following March 2026's record-warm average of 67.6°F. This aligns with forecast model consensus from NOAA, showing above-normal temperatures under a ridge pattern. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc quality-control revisions in the final NWS climatological report, though preliminary data carries strong authority for market resolution. Watch for the daily CLI summary expected within 24-48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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