Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) forecasting a mild high in the upper 60s to low 70s for Dallas on April 5, driven by an approaching cold front introducing clouds, scattered showers, and northerly winds that suppress daytime heating below the climatological April average of 77°F. Record-warm March conditions have given way to this transitional pattern amid persistent drought, with recent 00Z runs showing ensemble means around 69-71°F but spread of 4-6°F due to uncertainty in frontal timing and cloud cover persistence, differentiating the closely matched 68-69°F (28%), 70-71°F (25.5%), and 72-73°F (21.5%) outcomes. New 12Z model updates and NWS advisories expected midday could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
68-69°F 28%
70-71°F 26%
72-73°F 21%
66-67°F 19%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
21%
74°F or higher
11%
68-69°F 28%
70-71°F 26%
72-73°F 21%
66-67°F 19%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
21%
74°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) forecasting a mild high in the upper 60s to low 70s for Dallas on April 5, driven by an approaching cold front introducing clouds, scattered showers, and northerly winds that suppress daytime heating below the climatological April average of 77°F. Record-warm March conditions have given way to this transitional pattern amid persistent drought, with recent 00Z runs showing ensemble means around 69-71°F but spread of 4-6°F due to uncertainty in frontal timing and cloud cover persistence, differentiating the closely matched 68-69°F (28%), 70-71°F (25.5%), and 72-73°F (21.5%) outcomes. New 12Z model updates and NWS advisories expected midday could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions