Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project a midday high near 12.5°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's official resolution source—aligning with trader sentiment favoring 11°C at 59.5% implied probability and 12°C at 24.5%. This positioning stems from a transient low-pressure system bringing persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and cool northerly winds, as indicated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance and supporting observational data from AccuWeather showing highs around 12°C amid overcast conditions. April climatology typically sees highs of 15–16°C, but current synoptic patterns suppress warming; model ensembles show low spread but inherent short-range uncertainty from evolving cloudiness. Monitor hourly airport observations and late-day MGM updates for potential shifts as the market nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
11°C 60%
12°C 28%
13°C 9%
14°C 4.2%
$79,835 交易量
$79,835 交易量
11°C
60%
12°C
28%
13°C
9%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 60%
12°C 28%
13°C 9%
14°C 4.2%
$79,835 交易量
$79,835 交易量
11°C
60%
12°C
28%
13°C
9%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project a midday high near 12.5°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's official resolution source—aligning with trader sentiment favoring 11°C at 59.5% implied probability and 12°C at 24.5%. This positioning stems from a transient low-pressure system bringing persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and cool northerly winds, as indicated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance and supporting observational data from AccuWeather showing highs around 12°C amid overcast conditions. April climatology typically sees highs of 15–16°C, but current synoptic patterns suppress warming; model ensembles show low spread but inherent short-range uncertainty from evolving cloudiness. Monitor hourly airport observations and late-day MGM updates for potential shifts as the market nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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