Preliminary observations from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, position 5°C as the leading outcome at 52% implied probability, with temperatures peaking near that threshold amid persistent overcast skies and light drizzle from a lingering low-pressure system over southern Ontario. Cool maritime air and easterly winds at 15-25 km/h have suppressed daytime heating well below the early April climatological normal of 9°C, dropping 6°C or higher to 18% as model consensus failed to forecast sufficient solar penetration for intensification. The 25.7% on 4°C reflects uncertainty in final whole-degree rounding from hourly data showing afternoon readings around 3°C but earlier peaks closer to 5°C; official daily summary expected soon from Environment Canada.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
5°C 50%
4°C 31.1%
6°C or higher 17%
3°C <1%
$112,683 交易量
$112,683 交易量
3°C
<1%
4°C
31%
5°C
50%
6°C or higher
17%
5°C 50%
4°C 31.1%
6°C or higher 17%
3°C <1%
$112,683 交易量
$112,683 交易量
3°C
<1%
4°C
31%
5°C
50%
6°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Preliminary observations from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, position 5°C as the leading outcome at 52% implied probability, with temperatures peaking near that threshold amid persistent overcast skies and light drizzle from a lingering low-pressure system over southern Ontario. Cool maritime air and easterly winds at 15-25 km/h have suppressed daytime heating well below the early April climatological normal of 9°C, dropping 6°C or higher to 18% as model consensus failed to forecast sufficient solar penetration for intensification. The 25.7% on 4°C reflects uncertainty in final whole-degree rounding from hourly data showing afternoon readings around 3°C but earlier peaks closer to 5°C; official daily summary expected soon from Environment Canada.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions