Environment Canada's forecast issued April 2 projects a daytime high of 9°C in Toronto on April 4 under cloudy skies with a 60 percent chance of showers, tempering trader sentiment after an earlier projection of 12°C was revised downward amid persistent low-level clouds and light rain observed today at around 2°C. This clustering of market-implied probabilities around 8–11°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range models like GEM, GFS, and ECMWF, where differences in cloud evolution, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing could push peaks higher if breaks in cover allow greater insolation or lower with heavier showers. Watch for the next ECCC update on April 3, as observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport will refine resolution odds near event time. Historical early-April highs average 10–11°C, aligning with current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on April 4?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 4?
11°C or higher 24%
9°C 21%
8°C 19%
10°C 19%
$38,639 交易量
$38,639 交易量
2026-04-04
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
7%
7°C
13%
8°C
19%
9°C
21%
10°C
19%
11°C or higher
24%
11°C or higher 24%
9°C 21%
8°C 19%
10°C 19%
$38,639 交易量
$38,639 交易量
2026-04-04
1°C or below
$5,276 交易量
<1%
2°C
$3,017 交易量
<1%
3°C
$2,306 交易量
<1%
4°C
$3,005 交易量
1%
5°C
$3,072 交易量
1%
6°C
$2,759 交易量
7%
7°C
$3,416 交易量
13%
8°C
$3,918 交易量
19%
9°C
$3,028 交易量
21%
10°C
$3,133 交易量
19%
11°C or higher
$5,721 交易量
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's forecast issued April 2 projects a daytime high of 9°C in Toronto on April 4 under cloudy skies with a 60 percent chance of showers, tempering trader sentiment after an earlier projection of 12°C was revised downward amid persistent low-level clouds and light rain observed today at around 2°C. This clustering of market-implied probabilities around 8–11°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range models like GEM, GFS, and ECMWF, where differences in cloud evolution, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing could push peaks higher if breaks in cover allow greater insolation or lower with heavier showers. Watch for the next ECCC update on April 3, as observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport will refine resolution odds near event time. Historical early-April highs average 10–11°C, aligning with current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
交易量
$38,639結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 5:26 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's forecast issued April 2 projects a daytime high of 9°C in Toronto on April 4 under cloudy skies with a 60 percent chance of showers, tempering trader sentiment after an earlier projection of 12°C was revised downward amid persistent low-level clouds and light rain observed today at around 2°C. This clustering of market-implied probabilities around 8–11°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range models like GEM, GFS, and ECMWF, where differences in cloud evolution, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing could push peaks higher if breaks in cover allow greater insolation or lower with heavier showers. Watch for the next ECCC update on April 3, as observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport will refine resolution odds near event time. Historical early-April highs average 10–11°C, aligning with current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$38,639結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 5:26 PM ETEnvironment Canada's forecast issued April 2 projects a daytime high of 9°C in Toronto on April 4 under cloudy skies with a 60 percent chance of showers, tempering trader sentiment after an earlier projection of 12°C was revised downward amid persistent low-level clouds and light rain observed today at around 2°C. This clustering of market-implied probabilities around 8–11°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range models like GEM, GFS, and ECMWF, where differences in cloud evolution, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing could push peaks higher if breaks in cover allow greater insolation or lower with heavier showers. Watch for the next ECCC update on April 3, as observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport will refine resolution odds near event time. Historical early-April highs average 10–11°C, aligning with current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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