Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 16°C (61%) for London today, closely aligned with BBC Weather's forecast of 16°C under drizzle and moderate south-westerly breezes, while the Met Office projects a 15°C peak amid overcast skies and morning drizzle risks up to 70%. Persistent cloud cover from the newly named Storm Dave—announced yesterday by the Met Office—limits solar heating despite northerly winds and recent March warmth exceeding 19°C in west London. Hourly Met Office guidance shows afternoon peaks at 15°C with 10-40% rain chances, reflecting model consensus for mid-teens amid unsettled Atlantic flows typical for early April, where historical averages hover around 13°C. Real-time observations from Heathrow and central sites will clarify as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on April 3?
Highest temperature in London on April 3?
16°C 59.9%
15°C 25.8%
17°C or higher 7.4%
14°C 4.5%
$121,304 交易量
$121,304 交易量
2026-04-03
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
26%
16°C
60%
17°C or higher
7%
16°C 59.9%
15°C 25.8%
17°C or higher 7.4%
14°C 4.5%
$121,304 交易量
$121,304 交易量
2026-04-03
7°C or below
$15,885 交易量
<1%
8°C
$8,533 交易量
<1%
9°C
$7,334 交易量
<1%
10°C
$11,211 交易量
<1%
11°C
$7,253 交易量
<1%
12°C
$8,551 交易量
1%
13°C
$11,955 交易量
1%
14°C
$11,974 交易量
4%
15°C
$15,127 交易量
26%
16°C
$10,684 交易量
60%
17°C or higher
$12,895 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 16°C (61%) for London today, closely aligned with BBC Weather's forecast of 16°C under drizzle and moderate south-westerly breezes, while the Met Office projects a 15°C peak amid overcast skies and morning drizzle risks up to 70%. Persistent cloud cover from the newly named Storm Dave—announced yesterday by the Met Office—limits solar heating despite northerly winds and recent March warmth exceeding 19°C in west London. Hourly Met Office guidance shows afternoon peaks at 15°C with 10-40% rain chances, reflecting model consensus for mid-teens amid unsettled Atlantic flows typical for early April, where historical averages hover around 13°C. Real-time observations from Heathrow and central sites will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
交易量
$121,304結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 4:34 PM ET已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 16°C (61%) for London today, closely aligned with BBC Weather's forecast of 16°C under drizzle and moderate south-westerly breezes, while the Met Office projects a 15°C peak amid overcast skies and morning drizzle risks up to 70%. Persistent cloud cover from the newly named Storm Dave—announced yesterday by the Met Office—limits solar heating despite northerly winds and recent March warmth exceeding 19°C in west London. Hourly Met Office guidance shows afternoon peaks at 15°C with 10-40% rain chances, reflecting model consensus for mid-teens amid unsettled Atlantic flows typical for early April, where historical averages hover around 13°C. Real-time observations from Heathrow and central sites will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$121,304結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 4:34 PM ET已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 16°C (61%) for London today, closely aligned with BBC Weather's forecast of 16°C under drizzle and moderate south-westerly breezes, while the Met Office projects a 15°C peak amid overcast skies and morning drizzle risks up to 70%. Persistent cloud cover from the newly named Storm Dave—announced yesterday by the Met Office—limits solar heating despite northerly winds and recent March warmth exceeding 19°C in west London. Hourly Met Office guidance shows afternoon peaks at 15°C with 10-40% rain chances, reflecting model consensus for mid-teens amid unsettled Atlantic flows typical for early April, where historical averages hover around 13°C. Real-time observations from Heathrow and central sites will clarify as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions