Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 2, 2026, driven by official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Buenos Aires Observatorio station, which recorded a peak of 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and persistently high humidity. This aligns closely with pre-event SMN forecasts projecting 26–27°C maxima following a record April minimum of 24.1°C—the highest ever—fueled by warm air advection and weak southerly winds limiting cooling. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF showed minor spread around this range, capturing inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. With data now finalized, revisions are exceedingly rare, though equipment recalibration could theoretically prompt minor adjustments under SMN protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月2日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
4月2日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$155,672 交易量
$155,672 交易量
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$155,672 交易量
$155,672 交易量
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 2, 2026, driven by official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Buenos Aires Observatorio station, which recorded a peak of 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and persistently high humidity. This aligns closely with pre-event SMN forecasts projecting 26–27°C maxima following a record April minimum of 24.1°C—the highest ever—fueled by warm air advection and weak southerly winds limiting cooling. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF showed minor spread around this range, capturing inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. With data now finalized, revisions are exceedingly rare, though equipment recalibration could theoretically prompt minor adjustments under SMN protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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