Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 16°C (86.5% implied probability) in Shanghai today, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting daytime maxima near 16°C amid an approaching cold front bringing heavy rain and overcast skies. These conditions—light to moderate precipitation and cloud cover—suppress solar heating, positioning outcomes below the early April climatological average high of about 17°C. Secondary odds on 17°C reflect minor model spread and potential afternoon clearing, while higher bins remain unlikely given persistent low-level moisture and southerly winds capping warmth. Real-time observations from Shanghai Pudong Airport will finalize resolution by evening, with minimal shifts expected absent unexpected clearing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
16°C 87%
17°C 12%
18°C 2.6%
19°C <1%
$130,503 交易量
$130,503 交易量
2026-04-03
16°C
87%
17°C
12%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 87%
17°C 12%
18°C 2.6%
19°C <1%
$130,503 交易量
$130,503 交易量
2026-04-03
16°C
$13,383 交易量
87%
17°C
$9,638 交易量
12%
18°C
$12,789 交易量
3%
19°C
$9,528 交易量
1%
20°C or higher
$16,456 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 16°C (86.5% implied probability) in Shanghai today, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting daytime maxima near 16°C amid an approaching cold front bringing heavy rain and overcast skies. These conditions—light to moderate precipitation and cloud cover—suppress solar heating, positioning outcomes below the early April climatological average high of about 17°C. Secondary odds on 17°C reflect minor model spread and potential afternoon clearing, while higher bins remain unlikely given persistent low-level moisture and southerly winds capping warmth. Real-time observations from Shanghai Pudong Airport will finalize resolution by evening, with minimal shifts expected absent unexpected clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
交易量
$130,503結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 16°C (86.5% implied probability) in Shanghai today, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting daytime maxima near 16°C amid an approaching cold front bringing heavy rain and overcast skies. These conditions—light to moderate precipitation and cloud cover—suppress solar heating, positioning outcomes below the early April climatological average high of about 17°C. Secondary odds on 17°C reflect minor model spread and potential afternoon clearing, while higher bins remain unlikely given persistent low-level moisture and southerly winds capping warmth. Real-time observations from Shanghai Pudong Airport will finalize resolution by evening, with minimal shifts expected absent unexpected clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$130,503結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 16°C (86.5% implied probability) in Shanghai today, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting daytime maxima near 16°C amid an approaching cold front bringing heavy rain and overcast skies. These conditions—light to moderate precipitation and cloud cover—suppress solar heating, positioning outcomes below the early April climatological average high of about 17°C. Secondary odds on 17°C reflect minor model spread and potential afternoon clearing, while higher bins remain unlikely given persistent low-level moisture and southerly winds capping warmth. Real-time observations from Shanghai Pudong Airport will finalize resolution by evening, with minimal shifts expected absent unexpected clearing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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