National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a high near 81°F on April 3 under partly sunny skies with east winds of 11-15 mph, anchoring trader-implied probabilities at 82-83°F (45%) and 80-81°F (23%) as leading outcomes. This reflects consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF model runs clustering maximums in the 78-85°F range, consistent with early April climatological normals of 82°F amid neutral ENSO conditions. Yesterday's observed high of 78-79°F and a cool winter lingering into spring have tempered expectations for extremes, though slight uncertainty persists from potential scattered showers and cloud variability. Updated model guidance expected this evening could refine these odds further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on April 3?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 3?
82-83°F 53%
80-81°F 23%
84-85°F 21%
78-79°F 3.9%
$67,450 交易量
$67,450 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
53%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 53%
80-81°F 23%
84-85°F 21%
78-79°F 3.9%
$67,450 交易量
$67,450 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
53%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a high near 81°F on April 3 under partly sunny skies with east winds of 11-15 mph, anchoring trader-implied probabilities at 82-83°F (45%) and 80-81°F (23%) as leading outcomes. This reflects consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF model runs clustering maximums in the 78-85°F range, consistent with early April climatological normals of 82°F amid neutral ENSO conditions. Yesterday's observed high of 78-79°F and a cool winter lingering into spring have tempered expectations for extremes, though slight uncertainty persists from potential scattered showers and cloud variability. Updated model guidance expected this evening could refine these odds further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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