Following unseasonably cool highs of 15–18°C in Tel Aviv on April 4–5 amid partly cloudy skies, haze, and light winds, the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS now forecast a mild rebound to 21–23°C on April 6 under clearer conditions and moderate southerly flows. This clustering drives trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly matched at 28% for 23°C, 25.5% for 22°C, and 24.5% for 21°C, reflecting ensemble spread on sea breeze strength, residual cloud cover, and afternoon heating potential. Early April climatology averages around 22°C support this range, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; watch IMS updates and fresh 12Z model runs by April 5 evening for refinements ahead of resolution using official NOAA data from Ben Gurion Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 6?
23°C 27%
22°C 24%
21°C 19%
18°C 10.9%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
11%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
22%
22°C
24%
23°C
27%
24°C or higher
11%
23°C 27%
22°C 24%
21°C 19%
18°C 10.9%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
14°C or below
$433 交易量
<1%
15°C
$462 交易量
<1%
16°C
$322 交易量
<1%
17°C
$264 交易量
1%
18°C
$773 交易量
11%
19°C
$444 交易量
4%
20°C
$366 交易量
9%
21°C
$252 交易量
22%
22°C
$380 交易量
24%
23°C
$499 交易量
27%
24°C or higher
$366 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following unseasonably cool highs of 15–18°C in Tel Aviv on April 4–5 amid partly cloudy skies, haze, and light winds, the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS now forecast a mild rebound to 21–23°C on April 6 under clearer conditions and moderate southerly flows. This clustering drives trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly matched at 28% for 23°C, 25.5% for 22°C, and 24.5% for 21°C, reflecting ensemble spread on sea breeze strength, residual cloud cover, and afternoon heating potential. Early April climatology averages around 22°C support this range, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; watch IMS updates and fresh 12Z model runs by April 5 evening for refinements ahead of resolution using official NOAA data from Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$4,562結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following unseasonably cool highs of 15–18°C in Tel Aviv on April 4–5 amid partly cloudy skies, haze, and light winds, the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS now forecast a mild rebound to 21–23°C on April 6 under clearer conditions and moderate southerly flows. This clustering drives trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly matched at 28% for 23°C, 25.5% for 22°C, and 24.5% for 21°C, reflecting ensemble spread on sea breeze strength, residual cloud cover, and afternoon heating potential. Early April climatology averages around 22°C support this range, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; watch IMS updates and fresh 12Z model runs by April 5 evening for refinements ahead of resolution using official NOAA data from Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,562結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following unseasonably cool highs of 15–18°C in Tel Aviv on April 4–5 amid partly cloudy skies, haze, and light winds, the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS now forecast a mild rebound to 21–23°C on April 6 under clearer conditions and moderate southerly flows. This clustering drives trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly matched at 28% for 23°C, 25.5% for 22°C, and 24.5% for 21°C, reflecting ensemble spread on sea breeze strength, residual cloud cover, and afternoon heating potential. Early April climatology averages around 22°C support this range, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; watch IMS updates and fresh 12Z model runs by April 5 evening for refinements ahead of resolution using official NOAA data from Ben Gurion Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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