Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 82-83°F at 51.5% implied probability, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast for low-to-mid 80s today amid mostly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 30% chance of spotty showers. This reflects strong agreement across GFS and other numerical models depicting a warm, moist Gulf air mass under a mid-level ridge, fostering above-normal spring heating above Houston's April climatological average of 79°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 72°F and morning cloudiness from yesterday's northern-area rain, potentially capping peaks if showers increase; however, breezy conditions aid mixing for robust daytime warming. Afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations at key sites like Hobby Airport will sharpen resolution before evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on April 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 3?
82-83°F 52%
84-85°F 23%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 5.3%
$22,367 交易量
$22,367 交易量
2026-04-03
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 52%
84-85°F 23%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 5.3%
$22,367 交易量
$22,367 交易量
2026-04-03
74-75°F
$1,616 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$2,578 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$1,581 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$1,705 交易量
16%
82-83°F
$2,763 交易量
52%
84-85°F
$1,802 交易量
23%
86-87°F
$1,499 交易量
5%
88-89°F
$829 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$5,315 交易量
1%
92°F or higher
$975 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 82-83°F at 51.5% implied probability, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast for low-to-mid 80s today amid mostly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 30% chance of spotty showers. This reflects strong agreement across GFS and other numerical models depicting a warm, moist Gulf air mass under a mid-level ridge, fostering above-normal spring heating above Houston's April climatological average of 79°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 72°F and morning cloudiness from yesterday's northern-area rain, potentially capping peaks if showers increase; however, breezy conditions aid mixing for robust daytime warming. Afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations at key sites like Hobby Airport will sharpen resolution before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
交易量
$22,367結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 82-83°F at 51.5% implied probability, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast for low-to-mid 80s today amid mostly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 30% chance of spotty showers. This reflects strong agreement across GFS and other numerical models depicting a warm, moist Gulf air mass under a mid-level ridge, fostering above-normal spring heating above Houston's April climatological average of 79°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 72°F and morning cloudiness from yesterday's northern-area rain, potentially capping peaks if showers increase; however, breezy conditions aid mixing for robust daytime warming. Afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations at key sites like Hobby Airport will sharpen resolution before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$22,367結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Houston high temperature of 82-83°F at 51.5% implied probability, closely tracking the National Weather Service's latest forecast for low-to-mid 80s today amid mostly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 30% chance of spotty showers. This reflects strong agreement across GFS and other numerical models depicting a warm, moist Gulf air mass under a mid-level ridge, fostering above-normal spring heating above Houston's April climatological average of 79°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 72°F and morning cloudiness from yesterday's northern-area rain, potentially capping peaks if showers increase; however, breezy conditions aid mixing for robust daytime warming. Afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations at key sites like Hobby Airport will sharpen resolution before evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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