India Meteorological Department (IMD) data shows yesterday's maximum at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport reached 37.5°C amid clear skies, with today's local forecast projecting 38°C under mainly clear conditions and low humidity around 30-60%. However, trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 36°C at 93% implied probability, driven by the IMD's national bulletin noting a gradual 3-5°C fall in northwest India maxima through April 4—encompassing Uttar Pradesh—and midday observations of just 34.7°C at 14:30 IST, suggesting limited remaining heating potential before sunset at 18:24 IST. This positioning aligns with ensemble model trends and historical early-April norms around 36-37°C. A realistic challenge would be persistent intense solar insolation and calm westerly winds boosting the peak to 37°C+, while incoming clouds or gusts could confirm or undershoot 36°C as final airport readings resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
36°C 96.8%
37°C 2.5%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$99,887 交易量
$99,887 交易量
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
97%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 96.8%
37°C 2.5%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$99,887 交易量
$99,887 交易量
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
97%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) data shows yesterday's maximum at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport reached 37.5°C amid clear skies, with today's local forecast projecting 38°C under mainly clear conditions and low humidity around 30-60%. However, trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 36°C at 93% implied probability, driven by the IMD's national bulletin noting a gradual 3-5°C fall in northwest India maxima through April 4—encompassing Uttar Pradesh—and midday observations of just 34.7°C at 14:30 IST, suggesting limited remaining heating potential before sunset at 18:24 IST. This positioning aligns with ensemble model trends and historical early-April norms around 36-37°C. A realistic challenge would be persistent intense solar insolation and calm westerly winds boosting the peak to 37°C+, while incoming clouds or gusts could confirm or undershoot 36°C as final airport readings resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions