Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 25°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport today, with 93.5% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS. These project peak daytime heating to 25°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70%, and light winds, following morning lows near 13–14°C amid overcast conditions. April climatology supports this, with average highs near 22°C, though mild spring patterns allow slight elevations. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine boosting to 26°C or unexpected rain cooling below 24°C; hourly airport observations through evening will refine certainty as the market nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
25°C 94%
26°C 11%
29°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,627 交易量
$78,627 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
25°C
94%
26°C
11%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 94%
26°C 11%
29°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,627 交易量
$78,627 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
25°C
94%
26°C
11%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 25°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport today, with 93.5% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS. These project peak daytime heating to 25°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70%, and light winds, following morning lows near 13–14°C amid overcast conditions. April climatology supports this, with average highs near 22°C, though mild spring patterns allow slight elevations. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine boosting to 26°C or unexpected rain cooling below 24°C; hourly airport observations through evening will refine certainty as the market nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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