Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 33°C (82.5% implied probability) for Singapore's highest temperature on April 3, 2026, aligning with the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C during the onset of inter-monsoon conditions in the first half of April. This period brings light, variable winds, afternoon thundery showers over parts of the island, and occasional Sumatra squalls, yet persistent heat from reduced Northeast Monsoon influence allows urban heat island effects and solar heating to push temperatures into this range despite cloud cover. Observations already show 33.3°C at Newton around midday, following March's warm second half where highs exceeded 34°C on most days, peaking at 35.4°C on March 30. Lower odds for 34°C (11.3%) or higher reflect shower potential capping further intensification, with updated NEA observations later today providing the final resolution based on official station maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Singapore on April 3?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 3?
33°C 77%
34°C 15.7%
35°C or higher 1.3%
29°C <1%
$84,808 交易量
$84,808 交易量
29°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
75%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
1%
33°C 77%
34°C 15.7%
35°C or higher 1.3%
29°C <1%
$84,808 交易量
$84,808 交易量
29°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
75%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
爭議期
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
爭議期
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 33°C (82.5% implied probability) for Singapore's highest temperature on April 3, 2026, aligning with the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C during the onset of inter-monsoon conditions in the first half of April. This period brings light, variable winds, afternoon thundery showers over parts of the island, and occasional Sumatra squalls, yet persistent heat from reduced Northeast Monsoon influence allows urban heat island effects and solar heating to push temperatures into this range despite cloud cover. Observations already show 33.3°C at Newton around midday, following March's warm second half where highs exceeded 34°C on most days, peaking at 35.4°C on March 30. Lower odds for 34°C (11.3%) or higher reflect shower potential capping further intensification, with updated NEA observations later today providing the final resolution based on official station maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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