Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature peaked at 20°C around 3 PM local time on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low humidity near 35%, easily surpassing the 19°C threshold and driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 19°C or higher. This aligns with the latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs of 20–21°C amid a stable warm air mass, above the typical April average of 16–18°C influenced by seasonal southerly flows. Current evening readings have cooled to 13–14°C, with final official daily maximum data expected from KMA post-midnight. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare measurement revision across multiple stations could alter resolution, as peak conditions are already verified.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 3?
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$505,781 交易量
$505,781 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$505,781 交易量
$505,781 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature peaked at 20°C around 3 PM local time on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low humidity near 35%, easily surpassing the 19°C threshold and driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 19°C or higher. This aligns with the latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs of 20–21°C amid a stable warm air mass, above the typical April average of 16–18°C influenced by seasonal southerly flows. Current evening readings have cooled to 13–14°C, with final official daily maximum data expected from KMA post-midnight. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare measurement revision across multiple stations could alter resolution, as peak conditions are already verified.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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