Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) mid-range forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 6 at 12-14°C, capping warming from recent highs above 20°C due to an incoming weekend rain system with 40-60% precipitation odds, persistent cloud cover, and a shift to cooler northerly winds post-frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values—12°C at 24% and 13°C at 23%—reflecting 1-3°C model spread from uncertainties in cloud forcing, boundary layer mixing, and rain timing, which could suppress peaks below climatological early April averages of 13-15°C. New KMA updates and ensemble runs expected daily through April 5 may narrow this genuine forecast divergence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
12°C 30%
13°C 25%
14°C 18%
11°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
6%
11°C
13%
12°C
30%
13°C
25%
14°C
18%
15°C
13%
16°C
9%
17°C or higher
2%
12°C 30%
13°C 25%
14°C 18%
11°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
7°C or below
$880 交易量
<1%
8°C
$821 交易量
1%
9°C
$663 交易量
3%
10°C
$703 交易量
6%
11°C
$572 交易量
13%
12°C
$934 交易量
30%
13°C
$606 交易量
25%
14°C
$573 交易量
18%
15°C
$648 交易量
13%
16°C
$779 交易量
9%
17°C or higher
$813 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) mid-range forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 6 at 12-14°C, capping warming from recent highs above 20°C due to an incoming weekend rain system with 40-60% precipitation odds, persistent cloud cover, and a shift to cooler northerly winds post-frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values—12°C at 24% and 13°C at 23%—reflecting 1-3°C model spread from uncertainties in cloud forcing, boundary layer mixing, and rain timing, which could suppress peaks below climatological early April averages of 13-15°C. New KMA updates and ensemble runs expected daily through April 5 may narrow this genuine forecast divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$7,980結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) mid-range forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 6 at 12-14°C, capping warming from recent highs above 20°C due to an incoming weekend rain system with 40-60% precipitation odds, persistent cloud cover, and a shift to cooler northerly winds post-frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values—12°C at 24% and 13°C at 23%—reflecting 1-3°C model spread from uncertainties in cloud forcing, boundary layer mixing, and rain timing, which could suppress peaks below climatological early April averages of 13-15°C. New KMA updates and ensemble runs expected daily through April 5 may narrow this genuine forecast divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,980結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) mid-range forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 6 at 12-14°C, capping warming from recent highs above 20°C due to an incoming weekend rain system with 40-60% precipitation odds, persistent cloud cover, and a shift to cooler northerly winds post-frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values—12°C at 24% and 13°C at 23%—reflecting 1-3°C model spread from uncertainties in cloud forcing, boundary layer mixing, and rain timing, which could suppress peaks below climatological early April averages of 13-15°C. New KMA updates and ensemble runs expected daily through April 5 may narrow this genuine forecast divergence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions