The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecasts for Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—project a high temperature of 12–13°C on April 5, driving trader consensus with 12°C at 23% and 13°C at 20.5% implied probabilities amid close competition from 11–14°C outcomes. This positioning reflects persistent mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds suppressing daytime heating after recent rain systems and a lingering cold air mass, with overnight lows near 5°C limiting diurnal warming. Ensemble model spreads from global forecasts like ECMWF and GFS indicate 2–3°C uncertainty due to potential clearing timing and weak frontal boundaries. Early April climatology averages 14–16°C highs, but current upper-air trough patterns favor cooler-than-normal readings; watch KMA's daily updates through April 4 for refinements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
12°C 22%
13°C 21%
14°C 17%
11°C 16%
$23,281 交易量
$23,281 交易量
2026-04-05
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
6%
11°C
16%
12°C
22%
13°C
21%
14°C
17%
15°C
11%
16°C or higher
12%
12°C 22%
13°C 21%
14°C 17%
11°C 16%
$23,281 交易量
$23,281 交易量
2026-04-05
6°C or below
$2,307 交易量
<1%
7°C
$2,134 交易量
1%
8°C
$2,118 交易量
1%
9°C
$1,734 交易量
4%
10°C
$2,591 交易量
6%
11°C
$2,580 交易量
16%
12°C
$1,569 交易量
22%
13°C
$1,495 交易量
21%
14°C
$1,454 交易量
17%
15°C
$2,158 交易量
11%
16°C or higher
$3,148 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecasts for Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—project a high temperature of 12–13°C on April 5, driving trader consensus with 12°C at 23% and 13°C at 20.5% implied probabilities amid close competition from 11–14°C outcomes. This positioning reflects persistent mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds suppressing daytime heating after recent rain systems and a lingering cold air mass, with overnight lows near 5°C limiting diurnal warming. Ensemble model spreads from global forecasts like ECMWF and GFS indicate 2–3°C uncertainty due to potential clearing timing and weak frontal boundaries. Early April climatology averages 14–16°C highs, but current upper-air trough patterns favor cooler-than-normal readings; watch KMA's daily updates through April 4 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$23,281結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecasts for Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—project a high temperature of 12–13°C on April 5, driving trader consensus with 12°C at 23% and 13°C at 20.5% implied probabilities amid close competition from 11–14°C outcomes. This positioning reflects persistent mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds suppressing daytime heating after recent rain systems and a lingering cold air mass, with overnight lows near 5°C limiting diurnal warming. Ensemble model spreads from global forecasts like ECMWF and GFS indicate 2–3°C uncertainty due to potential clearing timing and weak frontal boundaries. Early April climatology averages 14–16°C highs, but current upper-air trough patterns favor cooler-than-normal readings; watch KMA's daily updates through April 4 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$23,281結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThe Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecasts for Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—project a high temperature of 12–13°C on April 5, driving trader consensus with 12°C at 23% and 13°C at 20.5% implied probabilities amid close competition from 11–14°C outcomes. This positioning reflects persistent mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds suppressing daytime heating after recent rain systems and a lingering cold air mass, with overnight lows near 5°C limiting diurnal warming. Ensemble model spreads from global forecasts like ECMWF and GFS indicate 2–3°C uncertainty due to potential clearing timing and weak frontal boundaries. Early April climatology averages 14–16°C highs, but current upper-air trough patterns favor cooler-than-normal readings; watch KMA's daily updates through April 4 for refinements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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